{"id":3917,"date":"2018-09-05T14:49:27","date_gmt":"2018-09-05T20:49:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wacaustin.org\/?p=3917"},"modified":"2018-09-07T15:04:12","modified_gmt":"2018-09-07T21:04:12","slug":"while-we-were-tweeting-the-future-happened","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wacaustin.org\/wp2015\/while-we-were-tweeting-the-future-happened\/","title":{"rendered":"While We were Tweeting, the Future Happened"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>David Firestein, the executive director of the University of Texas\u2019 new China Public Policy Center headlined a recent session of our speaker series,\u00a0<em>The World Spins,\u00a0<\/em>with some advice about competing with China.<\/p>\n<p>By Raye Elizabeth Ward<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"m_3071960410373622928gmail-size-full m_3071960410373622928gmail-wp-image-3288 m_3071960410373622928gmail- CToWUd alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/ci5.googleusercontent.com\/proxy\/BiaWnY78DuZ_3hbH2vSMPMe6yeUoVVFF6pS_ff92-MFeO0w4de8J01qwl4RWS4X3ptgr94vOhUSCD-KHm7gfs3LP-BoNfsnciAx7AqHL78loKO_T3oo67R86s3NN1f9vO3GwIM5jhyyQKi2K-7uhmf2-YtAcbN7p0Q=s0-d-e1-ft#https:\/\/chryscommdotcom.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/04\/ccr_firesteindavid_web-e1536114798862.jpg?w=625\" alt=\"David Firestein, Founding Executive Director, China Public Policy Center; Clinical Professor of Public Affairs\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn the end, we\u2019re going to have to step up and compete.\u00a0 China is not our enemy. But it is our most formidable national competitor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Firestein, an Austin native who\u00a0spent 20 years in China with the State Department and\u00a0another 10 as a senior vice president at the East-West Institute, has no illusions about what\u2019s at stake.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s like a cage match in wrestling,\u201d he explained, where one wrestler, the United States, follows the rules, and the other, China, uses any- and everything to win. And winning means becoming\u00a0the first country in history to be a brutally market-oriented authoritarian dictatorship.<\/p>\n<p>In a cage match, tweets and tariffs are a poor match against a singularly focused industrial policy and a bill of rights that says:\u00a0 Citizen, you stay out of politics, and we, the government, will make you rich.<\/p>\n<p><strong>One battleground:\u00a0 artificial intelligence and big data<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re not reading Jeff Ding\u2019s\u00a0<em>ChinaAI Newsletter<\/em>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.us12.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=63faf8cc530b40bbdb66435f7&amp;id=119fc22940\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=https:\/\/twitter.us12.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u%3D63faf8cc530b40bbdb66435f7%26id%3D119fc22940&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1536421624502000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEbj4RSY8T0cjeHUaZUmS3HrGX21Q\">you should be<\/a>.\u00a0Ding, who is a graduate student at Cambridge, shares translations of Chinese policy, strategy and technology. His most recent is a report from boutique private investment firm Rising Investments on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/document\/d\/1jhxvbezrPy61-JP9kmdEl_oWuvw-j0sQhKaSvY5ej4Y\/edit#heading=h.h9z15d79de6f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=https:\/\/docs.google.com\/document\/d\/1jhxvbezrPy61-JP9kmdEl_oWuvw-j0sQhKaSvY5ej4Y\/edit%23heading%3Dh.h9z15d79de6f&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1536421624502000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHwwknsUZUGdNazjv7vT8Ltp3ShlQ\">China\u2019s Civil-Military Fusion.<\/a>\u00a0 The report notes that although applications based on artificial intelligence (big data, internet) need time to developed.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>AI military applications still need a lot of time: products for the military industry require \u201chigh reliability,\u201d so emerging technology like AI will be used as reserves and not be applied until they are mature, and the related technologies for AI (big data, internet) also have a number of security issues.<\/li>\n<li>Intelligent weaponry and intelligent robots will have a major impact on the strategy and the tactics of future wars.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>China also plans to use the same public-private partnerships that built the American technology sector to achieve its goals.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>China did not\u00a0permit non-government capital to enter into national defense industries until 2005. They are still looking for the emergence of a 50-100bn military industry private corporation on the scale of say Lockheed Martin.<\/li>\n<li>The goal is to have over 80% of defense industry information construction technology come from private enterprise. China hopes to reach the first wave of peak civil-military fusion in 3-5 years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Will political turmoil stifle American innovation?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Without the Dept. of Defense we wouldn\u2019t have the Internet or email, much less venture capital and private equity.\u00a0\u00a0Read Andrew Ross Sorkin\u2019s excellent\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2ML5Vud\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2ML5Vud&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1536421624502000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFcOfRklUYvb7c2iRZb95S96YePGA\">article<\/a>\u00a0about the push back against defense contracts among the employees of Silicon Valley technology giants. Sorkin quotes\u00a0Adam Grant, a professor at the Wharton School and a member of the Defense Innovation Board, an independent federal advisory committee set up under President Barack Obama, said he believed that the partisanship that was contributing to the debate would ultimately stifle innovation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"m_3071960410373622928gmail-css-1i0edl6 m_3071960410373622928e2kc3sl0\">\u201cI worry that it will stall progress,\u201d said Grant. \u201cInnovation has been fueled for decades by private-public partnerships. It smacks of cutting off your nose to spite your face.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Firestein reminded us, China is in that cage match, its eye on the long-term, even as American strategy changes with an election cycle, from tweet to tweet. It\u2019s hard to win a cage match when it\u2019s unclear what winning looks like.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think we\u2019re at the beginning of a major transformation and a technology revolution that is, by an order of magnitude, more disruptive than the internet revolution 20 years ago,\u201d Robert Manning, a senior fellow at the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1536421624502000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHjUxN2ErDkCakmabiUNOoUBNogIA\">Atlantic Council<\/a>\u00a0recently told American Public Media\u2019s\u00a0<em>Marketplace Report<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf we don\u2019t get wise to these trends that are reshaping our economy and are going to affect the way we work, live and everything else, the future is going to take us by surprise.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>David Firestein, the executive director of the University of Texas\u2019 new China Public Policy Center headlined a recent session of our speaker series,\u00a0The World Spins,\u00a0with some advice about competing with 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Ramirez","author_link":"https:\/\/wacaustin.org\/wp2015\/author\/bramirez\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"David Firestein, the executive director of the University of Texas\u2019 new China Public Policy Center headlined a recent session of our speaker series,\u00a0The World Spins,\u00a0with some advice about competing with 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